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Running a scenario

Model one or more mitigation strategies across every farm in a project, read the result, and compare scenarios against each other.

Who this is for

Anyone modelling what mitigation strategies would do — across a whole set of farms at once, or on particular farms within that set. You need a project before you can run anything.

Before you start

A scenario is one or more mitigation strategies applied to every farm in a project, with each farm's carbon calculation re-run to show what the result would be.

A scenario can carry as many strategies as you like, and what comes back is one combined result — not a figure per strategy. Strategies interact: two that both change the amount of soy in the feed do not add up, because the second acts on what the first has already changed. To know what a single strategy is worth on its own, give it its own scenario and compare afterwards.

You set the project and the year you are modelling to. The year can be later than the project's assessment year — a 2026 project modelled to 2027.

Steps

  1. In the left-hand menu, select Scenario Planning, then Mitigation Toolbox. You can also start from the project itself: open it and select New Scenario in the Scenarios panel, which fills the project in for you.
  1. At the top of the page, set Project and Year. Any year is accepted.
  1. In the list on the left, open a category or type into Search strategies….
  1. Select a strategy. It opens on the right marked Activated. Learn More opens a fuller explanation of how that strategy works and what it assumes.
  1. Set the strategy's Parameters. What you are asked for depends on the strategy — a percentage on a slider, a product from a dropdown, a number of days, a price.
  1. Repeat for each strategy you want in the scenario.
  1. Check what is activated before you save. Opening a strategy activates it, so anything you opened just to read is now part of the scenario. Select the × at the right of a strategy's card to take it out.
  1. Scenario Name fills in from the strategies you have activated. Type over it if you want something more useful to find later.
  1. Select Save New Scenario.

How to confirm it worked

The scenario appears in the Scenarios panel on the project page marked PROCESSING, with the date and time you saved it. Every farm in the project is recalculated, so this is not instant.

When it finishes, the label changes to COMPLETED and a percentage appears beside the name — the reduction in the project's carbon footprint.

Read a scenario's results

Select the eye icon on a completed scenario's row.

Four figures head the page: Footprint Reduction in kgCO₂e/kg FPCM, Absolute Reduction in tCO₂e, Net Economic Balance, and the number of Farms covered. Each reduction carries a percentage and the baseline-to-projected pair behind it.

Net Economic Balance fills in only where the scenario's strategies carry cost data. N/A means unpriced, not break-even.

Below that, four panels show the same change at different resolutions:

  • Emissions Journey — which categories moved, and by how much.
  • Category Comparison — baseline against projected, category by category.
  • Emissions by Category — the same split as shares of the total, before and after.
  • Mitigation Strategies — what the scenario was built from, with the parameter values it ran on.

Emissions Journey and Category Comparison carry their own Absolute / Carbon Footprint toggles.

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Impact by Farm lists each farm with its Allocated Emissions, Emission Reduction and % Reduction, shown in Absolute (tCO₂e) or Footprint (kgCO₂e/kg FPCM) and sortable on any column. The top ten show; Show all N farms opens the rest.

A farm the strategy cannot touch shows a reduction of zero — a grazing strategy on a farm with no grazing. That is the right answer for that farm, not a failed run.

Scenario results also appear at farm and region level in the Analytics dashboard.

Compare scenarios

Tick the checkbox beside two or more completed scenarios in the Scenarios panel. Compare becomes available once more than one is ticked.

The scenario with the largest reduction is flagged Best Reduction. Below it the scenarios are ranked with their reductions.

The detail sits under three tabs — Environmental, Economic and Strategies. Environmental holds:

  • Carbon Footprint: Baseline vs Projected — each scenario's projected footprint against the project as it stands.
  • Category Reduction Profile — a radar chart of how much of each category's baseline emissions remain, so a line pulled further in means more reduction.
  • Detailed Metrics Comparison — footprint, reduction and percentage reduction per scenario, broken down by category.

Economic holds Detailed Economic Comparison: Total Saving, Total Cost and Balance per scenario, Investment Efficiency per tonne of CO₂e reduced, per litre of milk and per lactating cow, and Economic Impact by Strategy.

A scenario whose strategies carry no cost data reads N/A throughout, so comparing it against a priced one tells you nothing about cost.

Strategies holds the Strategy Comparison Matrix: a row per strategy, a column per scenario, each cell either Applied with its parameter values or Not applied. Strategies used in only one scenario are badged Unique to this scenario. Use it to see whether two close scenarios are close because they do similar things.

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Back to Project returns you to the project.

Reuse or remove a scenario

The copy icon reopens the set-up with everything filled in — the quickest way to test the same strategy at a different strength. The bin icon deletes the scenario.

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